23. 10. 2016 by Shaun Kauffman
Hey guys and gals welcome back to 1st Edition Investments! This is the article you’ve all been asking for, the XY Evolutions set review. Now while I will be breaking down the set, the hot cards, the sleepers, and the duds, I also want to take time to examine the set on a few different investments levels as well as give you a few of my ideas going into the holiday season. Let me tell you this article is going to be lengthy. I’m going to go in depth with each card, my logic on the cards, and even to reveal the route I plan to take with investment on each. I’ve had many people ask me why would I reveal all my information and opinions on a set, wouldn’t that ruin the investment potential if everyone else did it? Well actually if everyone else mimics my position that just strengthens the position because you won’t have people keeping the position down in the long run. Let me give you an example. You have 10 people who are your vendors. Of those 10 people 5 decide they are going to hold a card for long term investment and 5 are going to sell the copies as they get them in the front door. The 5 selling the copies are going to be competing for the best possible price and drive the value down, therefore hurting the position of the 5 holding the card (at least temporarily). Eventually though those 5 vendors will run out of stock, however there are going to be plenty of ways they can replenish stock at least until the set rotates out of print, meaning that just by 5 vendors taking the position to actively sell, they are putting a 2+ year clock on those with the position to hold. There is nothing wrong with this if you are looking for a passive investment, however if you were taking that position in hopes that you could turn over the cards for a larger gain in a few months to a year, then you will be sorely disappointed. Unfortunately you’ll never get 100% of the vendors to take the same position, as all will have difference necessities to their business and therefore will do what is best for them, even if it truly isn’t best for them in the long run (who knows, maybe if they don’t move their position now they won’t make it to the long run). That’s why I don’t mind revealing my investment strategies. There are oh so many fish in the pond that the ones who are influenced by my take on it will only shift the overall position of the market very slightly. Essentially the only difference is that those who are investing similar to me are making the claim they trust my logic on investing to at some interval gain a return on investment, which hopefully is larger than the initial return by just selling the cards off immediately. Now that I’ve got the critics out of the way who think this thing might be a scam, let’s get down to the nitty gritty of XY Evolutions so you can see why this will be one of the best long term value sets we’ve ever had in Pokemon.
Note: There has been a lot of discussion lately on paid content on article websites and whether it is worth the value. While I am a large supporter of free content, I can recognize when a website wouldn’t be able to survive without paid content. That is why I pick and choose which of my articles I deem to be such a great value that they just absolutely wouldn’t make sense to be free and should be behind a paywall. That being said that is GOOD for you guys (the reader). What that means is that I understand what is worth paying for and not worth paying for. My goal in writing is that you can pay to read an article of mine, use what you’ve read, and pay back your fee and more through what you’ve learned if applied correctly. This way you’re not out any money, and I get to continue to come back and write more by having people pay for content. I do agree there is some paid content in the world that is just not worth your money, but rest assured I’m going to do everything in my power to bring you paid content that isn’t just you tossing money around willy nilly, but instead you putting money toward an investment in your knowledge about this business. If you don’t want to pay or don’t have the money I completely understand and I still look forward to writing for each and every one of you in the future. I put my best foot forward in all of my writings each time, regardless of what some critics might think. I might just alter the topics around the free/paywall circumstances so that the ones that have more of an immediate return are paid while those that have more long term effects are free. This way if you do have to pay you’ll recoup your investment quicker. I’ll have more free articles coming soon that I hope you look forward to that will provide you with great insights into the industry. For now however, let’s delve into Evolutions.
So with Evolutions there are many ways to invest your money. You can go to Prereleases and play for the enjoyment, you can buy singles and flip them, you can invest in sealed product such as boxes and ETBs, or you can simply avoid the set altogether (not advised).
The first option is one I’d advise against unless you are looking to just relive the enjoyment of opening packs, playing with friends, and hopefully sparking the nostalgia you got when you played with the Base Set cards back in the day. Unfortunately at a $30 price tag Prereleases aren’t a great value for the investment. You get 7 packs and a kit to build a deck with (that could have a Charizard, however it is a 25% chance). You will be able to buy packs on the second Prerelease weekend from Toys-r-us and Gamestop for $28+tax, meaning you could buy as much as you wanted without the hassle of waiting for the remaining 3 after you play. While the additional $2 for a chance at a Charizard kit is worth it, buying packs for retail is not. You can get packs online and from most hobby stores for $3-3.50 each. We are here to profit maximize, meaning Prereleases are not your best option. That being said the one advantage a PR has is that you have the set cards early. You’ll be able to sell to those who just have that itch and cannot wait to buy singles for the set, meaning you will get presale values for your cards before their eventual dip once the mass market starts opening product. That being said, I deem this to be an incredibly weak trade off with a lot of risk at the expense of just getting less for your money. There are tournament organizers who do sell PR kits for $25, sometimes less, and do offer prize support for playing. Some of these options might be more lucrative, but it would depend on your payout and your local area. I’d still advise just investing into sealed booster packs/boxes so that you can get your guarantee ratio of Ultra Rares.
Prerelease Investment: No. Only invest if you are looking to relive the nostalgia you have for playing the game, opening packs, and feeling like a kid again.
The next way you can invest is singles, but I’m going to save this for when I actually breakdown the set, so let’s skip forward to boxes. You can invest in sealed product for this set at around $90 shipped per booster box if you order them online. If you’re in a hobby store you’re generally looking at around $100 + tax. If your local store doesn’t sell their boxes this cheap I’d find someone who does. There is a degree to where I’d advise supporting your local hobby store and environment to play, even if it costs a few dollars more, but there is a threshold to that. If your local store isn’t going to adapt to the times of an ecommerce world, then they probably should find a different line of business that doesn’t have to compete with online vendors. So you’ve got your chance to buy $90 boxes...what should you do with them. Do you crack them? Do you sell them sealed? Do you trade them? Well there are a multitude of options you can take, however it really depends what you want your investment to do for you. If you want a quick return on your investment you’re almost going to be forced to take the gamble of opening the box for packs and liquidate the singles. The biggest issue with this is that you are a tiny fish in a large pond in terms of reselling the cards. You also have the variance of what if you hit a dead box filled with junk. Sure you could land on the flip side and score the most amazing box you’ve ever seen, but you’re taking an incredible risk in doing so, one I’d advise against. If you’re looking for a quick-flip investment you’d be better off scooping up sleeper singles and trying to move those once they hit an inflection point (a point where the price changes the direction it is going - so if it was headed down the inflection point would occur when the price starts to rise). If you’re looking for a passive investment, one that you can just sit on the shelf and have the value appreciate over time, then this might be the best opportunity you’ve had in modern day Pokemon (HGSS forward). How do I conclude this set is so good for passive investment? Well let’s look at a few factors.
First off Pokemon is driven by a collector’s market, not a competitive one. That doesn’t mean there won’t be certain cards that go up and down in value because they are heavily played in the competitive scene, but in the long term scheme of things the only things that will retain heavy value are the cards people enjoy having in their collection just because of what they are. Look at examples like Mega Charizard from Flashfire, Charizard EX from Fire Red and Leaf Green, the Shinings and Gold Stars, etc. These are all cards that for the most part saw little competitive play (a few like Jolteon Gold Star and Rayquaza Gold Star did), yet they still command an incredibly high asking price. Cards like Kyogre and Ground Legend and Lugia Legend that never saw any play lead the way in terms of price among all of the Legend cards. This is because for every competitive player out there buying Pokemon cards there are 50 people who have never played the game that buy them, whether they are little kids or teenagers who just like the games, some are even adults who just enjoy collecting things. The key is though with a set like this you are going to hear “oh it has so little in terms of competitive value which means the set is garbage”. While that is true to an extend, that is irrelevant to your long term investment for the most part. If the competitive scene stops opening packs because the set is bad and hobby shops don’t open it because there are no competitive singles to move, then that is even better for your long term investment because there is less overall product being put into circulation. The set is still going to appreciate in value over time once it rotates out because there will always be collectors who want to obtain cards they couldn’t get when a set was in print. Even the worst sets of all time in the Diamond and Pearl era command a value higher than their $90 a box average that they sold for when they released.
The second large reason investing in this set is valuable is because of the collector value in the set. I’ll address this more when we go over the singles, but this set is chalked full of nostalgia and Pokemon that people love to collect. Blastoise, Charizard, Venusaur, Pikachu and all his variations, mew, etc. These are your hot ticket cards that even on their worst day will draw a pretty penny. That and the inclusion of things like foil base set energy (including the types people have desired for a long time), and you have a major recipe for success. The final set of every arc is generally considered to be a reprint set or a filler set. We saw this with Call of Legends closing out the HGSS era, Legendary Treasures closing out the BW era, and now Evolutions closing out the XY era before Sun and Moon. The previous two sets during their runs tanked in price. I remember you could buy LTR boxes on the secondary market for $50 and at regionals people would sell their packs for $.75 ea. Call of Legends sat on the shelves for over a year AFTER the print run had ended because the set didn’t move. So where do those sets sit today?
Call of Legends Sealed Booster Box Average - $374.99
Legendary Treasures Sealed Booster Box Average- $183.99
How in the world can sets deemed so poor be so expensive? Because people didn’t value the collector cards in them highly enough to buy the set, so later on the cards spiked in price because there were less circulating. The SL shiny Pokemon from CoL are $8-20 ea, while the Gold Reshiram and Gold Zekrom are $45 normally and $60 during the holiday season. What do you think would happen to a set filled with Base Set reprints long term?
XY Evolutions will be on a two year print run at most and more likely an 18 month one as they won’t want it to overshadow Sun and Moon. I firmly believe this set 2-5 years from now will command an incredibly high value per box and therefore makes the perfect passive investment to buy, sit on a shelf, and wait.
XY Evolutions Box Investment: Yes. You’re looking at a good 2-5 long term investment return on these boxes if you shelve them and wait.
Note: While I do think booster packs will increase as well, you’re just better off investing in boxes. ETBs I also think are worth picking up a few, but only if you have maxed out your available position on boxes.
Avoiding XY Evolutions
The next investment opportunity we have is to avoid the set altogether and invest your money elsewhere. I won’t harp on this one too long as I don’t think it is necessary, however if you think there is a better investment option coming in the next year or so in the Pokemon market with as many potential investment positions you’re wrong. I firmly believe this is going to be one of those rare opportunities, similar to the Rayquaza Keldeo Battle Decks, where you can reap a massive return on your investment, whether it is large or small. This set just has far too much going for it. If you have liquidity right now and are looking for an investment whether it is short-term, calendar year, or long term, you need to take a position on XY Evolutions and stick to it.
Avoiding XY Evolutions and Finding an Alternative Investment: No. If you have available cash and want to invest, this is one of the most primed and safe opportunities you’re going to get. You might have to wait out some of the people who will get antsy and sell early keeping the price low, but just like sets similar to CoL, Legendary Treasures, Skyridge, Expedition, Legendary Collection, and even Base set, this set has all the factors in the formula that combine to make long term success.
This is the section I’m sure many of you have all been waiting for. Heh, most of you probably didn’t even read all of the other sections and instead just scrolled until you found this one (I don’t fault you for that). For most of you waiting a long time to get a return on your investment is just not an option. Whether you want to reap your reward right away, or you are using all of your available liquidity and can’t afford to keep it tied up, you believe singles are the right path for you. Well, I’d say you’re right and you’re wrong. Your success with the singles market is really going to be dependent on
- How much you have to invest
- What you invest in
- How diversified you make your position
- Your ability to move said singles once you have them
- The time you choose to sell your position
There are a few good and bad ways to handle singles upon release. Normally I’d advise against buying singles as Preorders because generally cards go down after release once a lot more of the same cards hit circulation. That being said that doesn’t mean avoid buying cards altogether. You should analyze the set and what you expect each card value to be and if you find a seller who is selling a card you want to move in on at a price that is too low, then take the opportunity and snatch them up. I bought 41 Mew-EX promos from the Super Premium Collection for $9 each because I wanted a position on them and felt that I wouldn’t be able to beat that price anywhere else. That being said the smartest way to acquire your singles will be to either buy them once the set releases from other players, or to crack cases yourself. Both of these options will generally put you where you want to be in terms of returns, however if you have an outlet to move bulk, codes, rares, etc. then cracking cases is going to be the best route for you. If you generally only deal in “binder cards” then you might want to just stick with purchasing and flipping individual singles so that you don’t get a lot of excess stuff you have no real way of moving beyond bulking it out. The first thing you’re going to want to do is look at the setlist and tier it. By making tiers of the best investments versus the worst investments you set yourself up to knowing which cards you should move in on right away and which you should only snag if you find a great deal. This will allow you to manage your cash flow better and will help with diversifying your position. When I say that you should diversify your position I mean that you should get a wide variety of what you’re investing in so that your “eggs are not all in one basket”. This way if you invest heavily into a card and it doesn’t perform like expected that you don’t just lose out on a bunch of money. This is why on Wallstreet firms will diversify their assets in an effort at lowering their overall risk. Any wise investor will tell you that having 100 baskets with $1 in each is better than having one basket with $100 in it.
Once you have your tier list of cards you’ll want to divide up the available funds you have to invest based on the best investments you found. You don’t necessarily have to fully invest, as I’d actually recommend keeping some of your investment base liquid in case a great opportunity presents itself or in case a card performs differently than you expected it would and you want to move in on it. Generally when I set aside an amount of money toward a set I factor 80% investment initially and 20% liquidity for position moves as I progress and speculate. These percentages might not work for you however so you’ll want to work toward finding your own happy medium. One thing you’ll want to consider when investing is how you plan to sell these cards. Are you going to compete against every other seller on the major 3rd party platforms? Do you have your own website and your own player-base that you can market to? Or maybe you have a local flea market or store that you’re going to sell them at. Your outlet of sale will heavily dictate your singles success. If you have to compete with every other vendor in the 3rd party markets you’re going to have to wait until the overall market adjusts to where you want it before you unload, whereas if you have your own website or store you can shift that market faster and easier toward where you want it to be. The only thing you’ll want to be careful of with the latter is that you don’t just grossly overprice to make your return, because you’ll be sacrificing your reputation in doing so. Nobody wants to be known for being overpriced. Think long-term.
Finally once you have your investment made, now the clock is ticking on when to move the position. Maybe a card spikes because it sees competitive play. Maybe it is starting to dip because it is underperforming compared to what the hype was, or maybe the card was 10 per box and you has assumed it would be 1 per case. Knowing when to move an investment is just as crucial to investing as knowing what to invest in. One rule of thumb that is an age old saying, a bird in the hand is worth two in the bush. Sometimes taking the less risk averse play and selling a card for a smaller return versus risking it going higher is a smarter financial decision. If you can’t afford to lose money then taking any return is better than taking a loss. For some people however they play the “go big or go home” investing game, and many go home. Let me make it very clear right now. You should NEVER EVER EVER invest any money that you cannot afford to lose. If you wake up and your investment for some reason is worth $0 now and you lost the full invested amount, that is something that you need to be okay with. While it is unlikely to happen it Pokemon you never know and needs to be something you’re prepared for. I generally like to move a position at one of two inflection points. Either when my investment has hit a 35-50% net return, or when the inflection point shifts and hits back to break even with what I invested in. If a card starts to rise but then dips back down to what I paid I’ll cash out of my position on it due to instability. That doesn’t mean there isn’t money to be made there, however it just means the money is too risky for me to want to partake. There are so many investment opportunities in card games that there is no reason to take a ride on the risk train to make a few bucks.
So you’ve bought your cards, sat on them, flipped them, and now you have the cash in hand. You came out break even, or hopefully ahead if you were successful. That’s it. Now you’re ready to move on to the next investment and start it over. Welcome to “The Grind”. If you’ve ever played an MMO and farmed for money you’ll come to find out flipping singles for profit is just like farming in an MMO. It is profitable, it is boring, and it will drag down on you. That is why many people prefer the long term passive investments. I myself do both because I want to profit maximize, however if the grind doesn’t bother you then by all means stick with singles. There is great money in it and you can turn your money over 10x before you see the return on one of your passive investments.
Singles Investments: Yes. Absolutely without a doubt I am a supporter of investing in singles for this set. Speccing will hold a lot of value on this set due to it being a primarily focused collector’s set. That doesn’t mean there won’t be a competitive gem or two (I’ll address these in a moment), but for the most part you’re looking for the collector gems.
Finally before I wrap this article up on Evolutions I want to actually break the set down and look at the individual cards from an investment perspective. I plan to do this with all future releases so hopefully this initial structure will work and I can create some type of harmony between articles. Below I’m going to go card by card and layout my thoughts on each card and how I’ll be looking to invest in them.
XY Evolutions Singles - Individual Investments
Venusaur-EX: At first glance the Venusaur is the same one we received in XY, but it has a gold border and the base set feel to it. I don’t expect this card to take off too heavily in terms of value, but if Mega Venusaur-EX spikes and sees competitive black with backing from Forest of Giant plants and Garbodor, then people might want to play this one that deem the gold border to be max rarity over the full art XY version. Honestly though this is likely to end up being a $3-5 EX in the long run.
Mega Venusaur-EX: This card is one I have high up on my tier list actually. Mega Venusaur is already $15-18 from XY and this one is the base set throw back. That combined with the potential play value it has and I think the hype could drive the price ever higher going into Christmas. A peak of $20-25 wouldn’t surprise me at all. The full art could drive even higher.
Note: I’m not going to go over any of the common/uncommon cards unless I feel there is a special reason to do so. Most of these are going to fall into the bulk-$.25 each category.
Beedrill: This card is interesting due to the potential it has with Forest of Giant Plants. That being said Forest rotates after this year and I think the current format is much too fast with Shaymin for this to see play. It might have seen play post rotation had FoGP stayed in format, but unfortunately this seems to be a bulk rare for the time being.
Charizard: Oh boy. Like I even need to write you a paragraph on this. Charizard is going to be a position you want to make if you can get it for the right price. 20th anniversary. Base Set-esque reprint, right before Christmas, most likely 1-2 per case. Yeah...this bad boy is going to be a cash cow. One of the highest tier cards on this list. I expect them to be $20 presale, while dipping to $10-13 on release. I believe Charizard will have a quick inflection point however and hit back to $20 within a year.
Charizard-EX: Unfortunately this is a reprint of the Flashfire one again and falls under the same logic that Venusaur-EX did. While I do think it will still command a value of $4-6, it just doesn’t seem like enough for a Charizard.
Mega Charizard-EX: Buy it. It is a reprint of the one from Flashfire, which also had a gold secret rare version which is very similar, but both from Flashfire are high because kids love Megas and kids love Charizard. This will float $20-25 on release but has a great long term position.
Ninetales: I don’t see a lot of competitive value from Ninetales, however with it being a holo and a reprint from base set it should still command $1 or $2. It might dip early on, but remember we are thinking long term on this set. Collector value.
Ninetales BREAK: At first glance this card seems bad, however it will be legal for two years. If Fire typing ever gains major acceleration this card could be really good. I think if you can find a few for bulk BREAK pricing they would be worth a pick up. It will most likely drop to $2 or less early on though. I have this as a tier 3 investment.
Blastoise-EX: Blastoise I actually expect to be the cheapest of the 3 starters because Venusaur actually has potential. This card is just bad. Sadly the base set style isn’t going to make this a hot seller compared to its XY counterpart, meaning that its price will dip to $3-5 faster than either of the other two. I expect this to actually hit bulk EX pricing for a brief period of time before it rests around $3-4. I’d avoid this one.
Mega Blastoise-EX: Ah, how I contradict myself. This card just like Blastoise-EX has little to no competitive value, however it is a Mega of one of the most popular Pokemon of all-time. I expect Mega Blastoise to actually float up to $20-25 around Christmas and then dip down to $15 post Christmas. If you wait to move your position on this card until after Christmas then I’d advise considering it a long-term investment and waiting until the next Christmas session to sell.
Poliwrath: This card doesn’t strike me at all as a good investment in any fashion. Base Set Poliwrath is only worth a few dollars and this one doesn’t actually seem to be any better respectively in its current format. I actually expect this to be one of very few holo rares in this set to hit bulk value. Move them while the price is up as quickly as you can.
Starmie BREAK: This card seems bad, but could be a hard counter to a BREAK deck if one ever comes to fruition. I actually expect this card to hit bulk value quickly, but just like Dewgong, costs you nothing but opportunity to sit on it for a year or so to see if it ever has it’s 10 seconds in the spotlight. Most likely will be bulk value though.
Gyarados: Wow what a missed opportunity. This card could have been amazing, however they had to give a stupid coin flip conditioner to it and now it is awful. It will only have collector appeal and therefore isn’t one I’ll take a major position in since the original Base Set Gyarados is one of the lowest valued foils. $.50-1.00 is where I expect this one to fall once the dust settles.
Pikachu: Hold reverse foils of these for a few years. It will be valuable. Just look at legendary collection reverse Pikachu.
Raichu: This card doesn’t look to have much competitive value, but if the format becomes starved for a good lightning attacker and the stars align where Circle Circuit Raichu rotates before this guy, then he could see a little play. That being said people love Pikachu and Raichu and therefore I expect this to still be a $1-2 holo rare.
Magneton: Sell it. This card is garbage and will be in every bulk lot in the world.
Electrode: This card looks like it could actually see play, as we’ve seen variations of this ability work in the past. I suspect it won’t be too costly, but if it does end up seeing heavy play you could expect the card to hit $1-2. That being said it has little to no collector value and therefore shouldn’t be a long term play.
Electabuzz: Bulk rare anyone? Sell fast.
Zapdos: This holo rare has a lot of collector’s value, but very little competitive value. I think this card initially will dip below $1 and sit there until a year or two after the set is out of print and then it will gradually rise up to meet collector demand. I don’t think picking these up for $.25-.50 will be a bad position to take as long as you are comfortable with sitting on them for awhile.
Nidoking: OMG GYARADOS COUNTER. Ugh. This card is really bad, but it is neat to see Nidoking become a psychic type instead of a grass type this time around. That being said I doubt it will see much play. I expect this one to fall to a $1 holo rare.
Nidoking BREAK: BREAKS for stage 2 Pokemon just don’t seem realistic without some amazing ability. This card just looks awful and the art isn’t that good either. This will hit bulk BREAK value pretty quickly I suspect.
Mewtwo: SLEEPER! This is #1 on my tier list actually. I think this card is a heavy sleeper pick. It is half an X-ball from Mewtwo-EX without the 2 prize draw back. Any format that has relevant psychic type attackers this card will be the counter. I actually expect this card to dip down to $2-3 early, but then find a home in the format and rise to $5+. I think the attack for a DCE is just too splashable to not see play, and therefore makes it the perfect investment opportunity.
Mewtwo-EX: Ugh. This card is awful and should feel awful, but that is what one expects from the filler sets. They aren’t built to have competitive value. This card will drop down low early and stay low, however the Full Art will probably stay at $7-8 because it is a Full Art Mewtwo after all. Long Term it might break 10+ but I wouldn’t count on it.
Mew: This card I actually expect to be hard to pull and therefore worth a lot. The card is bad, but it is a foil mew in a collector’s set. Keep your eye on this one as it will most likely end up being a $5+ holo rare.
Dugtrio: Bad. Bulk. Don’t. Buy.
Machamp: Remember when he was in every starter deck? I sure hope the Prerelease kits aren’t the same way. Bulk holo rare.
Machamp BREAK: This card just doesn’t seem to be very good. I expect it to be a bulk BREAK. It might go up to $2-3 if enough little kids like Machamp.
Hitmonchan: Holo rare that will be $1 upon release and drop from there. Sell early.
Clefairy: Another SLEEPER!!!! That second attack could see a lot of play, especially if decks like Mega Steelix and Mega Venusaur take off. I expect this to drop low early on ($.50-$1), but then to rise back up later on once someone finds a way to break it. Definitely hold on to these.
Pidgeot-EX: This card is cool, but bad. I think it will stay around $4-5 because people love Bird Jesus, but won’t see any true investment potential unless Mega Pidgeot-EX surprises.
Mega Pidgeot-EX: While this card doesn’t seem too good, there is minimal potential and therefore should be one you keep on your radar for competitive investment as well. I do think this card long term has amazing potential because it is a mega and a widely liked Pokemon. It will dip early, but should peak at around $12-15 later on.
Raticate: This card probably won’t see much play, but it still something you should keep your eye on the same as with Dewgong for the same reasons.
Chansey: Bulk. Holo. Rare.
Dragonite-EX: I struggle to see why this card has potential, but I wouldn’t scoff at anyone that spec’d into it. This is one of those gamble investments. It will either have huge returns or awful ones. I myself plan to avoid this card for short term investment, but others might buy into it. I do think it will be a $5-10 EX once the set is out of print just because it is Dragonite.
EDIT: After the first weekend of PRs and discussing it over with a few people I have changed my postion on this. I believe Dragonite will remain expensive as long as Fairies are active in the meta. That being said the value of the card is heavily reliant on the meta and another deck which makes it risky.
Misty’s Determination: I think this card will fall prey to what a lot of the other Fan Boy Full Arts do. It will be hyped to oblivion and then end up being $8-10 because it has little to no competitive value and in the Collector community is just another Misty card. While people love Misty they only want one. Prove me wrong. Please...I really like money and would love if you were $40. Please.
Brock’s Guts: This full art might actually have some potential but I still think it will be in a similar vein as Archie’s and Maxie’s. It will most likely settle around $5-6 and stay there.
Surfing Pikachu, Exeggutor, Doduo: These are awesome cards that they did for this set, but I don’t think they will be super difficult to obtain. They most likely will be quite a few per case and therefore will only command $1-2 each.
Slowbro-EX: Bad. Why. :(
You can invest in it as a bulk EX investment if you’d like, but I don’t think it will ever go up in value in any situation.
Mega Slowbro-EX: The only saving grace to this card is that it is a Mega. I expect it to be a low tier Mega that will be $8-10.
Secret Rare Generations Box Reprints: Not even sure why they did this, but I don’t expect them to hold too much additional value. The Pikachu will probably hit $15 at some juncture, but the others will most likely settle around $10.
Foil Energy: This one I saved for last because these are the most important cards in this set for investment in my opinion. I expect you’ll get a few of the foil energy in each box (2-3), but playsets of these long term will be worth more than Emerald energy in my opinion. Long term these are setting up to be the most desired set of energy competitive players have ever had. People thought Generations were amazing (they are), but these are just on another level with the cosmic foil pattern. I expect these to be $5-7 ea out the gate and peak at $10 long term for some of the better ones like Fairy, Dark, and Water. I myself will be holding mine for long term investment unless I’m wrong about the pull ratio.
Phew...that’s a lot of info, but I hope it helps you make a more educated decision on how you’re going to handle your investing for XY Evolutions. I think there are many avenues you can take with a set like this to making money, however if you’re not comfortable picking out your own investments maybe you should think about hiring someone on to do it for you. Regardless I think this set has a lower amount of risk than normal and would be a great set to test the waters with. I wish you all the best of luck. Let me know how your investments pan out or what you’re thinking about investing in. I love to talk money! Until next time.
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