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Mudkipshore

EU Meta Analysis Standard Format

Taking a look at the recent European Standard Regionals metagame.

05/10/2016 by Mudkipshore

Hey guys,

We just started a new website called Mudkip Shore, where we are collecting the results and deck lists from European tournaments. So together with this website, there will be an article series on 60 cards where I am analyzing the metagame and tech choices. Check it out at mudkipshore.eu. Since we just started out, we only have results from French, German, Austrian and Slovakian tournaments, but in the future it’s going to cover all countries. So let’s just start with the metagame:

As you can see, Greninja is leading the top of the meta decks, closely followed by Night March and Yveltal. To make sense out of this whole thing, I will take a look at the evolution of the meta and try to explain how certain decks changed in popularity.

Week 1

These tournaments happened just after the ECC, and you can tell that from the results. After Philip Schulz managed to climb his way up to the finals with Straight Toad and Seismitoad Giratina seeing a lot of success, we had 2 decks being able to beat Night March. However NM was still the ECC winning deck, so people split into 3 groups:

Night March
Seismitoad
Counter decks

As you can see Vespiquen (without Vileplume) made 20% of the top cut (almost 30% if you include Vileplume versions) because it’s able to not just beat Straight Toad and Night March, but it has also a decent shot against other decks too. The next decks we see are unsurprisingly Straight Toad and Night March. These three decks defined the meta game during the first week, enabling Wailord (with Aegislash as a Vespiquen counter) to sneak a victory in France in the first week. During the same time in Austria, Greninja finished second, with a very whack deck list. The next day in France, Benjamin Pham showed everyone that Greninja is not just able to take down Straight Toad and Night March but also Vespiquen and Seismitoad/Giratina.

Week 2/3

(4 decks from Top 8 missing)

After Greninja took the win, there was only one Regional in the Standard format in Wil, Switzerland during Week 2. Greninja was able to win there also defeating ToadTina and Night March. After this there was huge Greninja hype, which you can see in the 21% meta share. The decks that were successful this week were these being able to deal with Greninja like Rayquaza and Mega Mewtwo. However in France, Greninja was very unpopular, with no Greninja in Top 8 and Night March winning the next Regional Championship. Still a very close race between Greninja and Night March but the trend is that Greninja is way more popular in the German countries and quite unpopular in the rest of Europe.

Also important to note is that the successful Greninja decks had a counter against the mirror match, the 2nd place and 2 of the Top 4 lists played Durant from Flashfire and Shauna to deal with a Shadow Stitching deadlock and deck out their opponents that had no mirror counter.

Week 4/5

I found Weeks 4 and 5 especially interesting. Yveltal won in Berlin, Night March in Bratislava and Greninja in Merville.

In Berlin there was an extremely huge amount of anti-meta decks like Mega Sceptile during the Swiss rounds, but there were still too many non- Greninja decks to let these decks having real success (however Flareon made the top cut in Berlin profiting from the Greninja hate). Mega Rayquaza from Bratislava played Red Card twice to counter Greninja, as it suffers from dead hands in the early game, so with Red Card you can put the Greninja player down to 4 cards in the first and second turn to hopefully make them draw dead while you set up a Mega Rayquaza with three Basic Energy attached to rush the Greninja deck, and not worry about Jirachi. The only thing that could slow down the Rayquaza deck would be Bubble heads, but the Escape Rope was a nice way to counter that too. However because of Greninja there were a bunch of Mega decks, which let a standard Night March win again.

Mega Rayquaza becoming more and more popular over the course of the regionals with having a decent shot against Night March and Greninja, and Seismitoad decks kind of fading from existence.

Here is the Bratislava 2nd Place list:

Week 6

Week 6 only had one reported tournament in Dortmund, Germany which was won by Greninja again. However Night March showed that it definitely can deal with Greninja. Robin Schulz the runner up, used Pokémon Catcher to put even more pressure on Greninja in the early game and to use the active pulling effect the same turn you play Hex Maniac. Mark Hartel played Parallel City and went back on playing Milotic again (and Puzzle of Time) to have more consistency later on (which is important against Greninja) and more outs to restore Energy cards and cards like Escape Rope and VS Seeker. The winning Greninja deck played Delinquent and Dedenne as meta tech cards, Delinquent for the mirror and just to put Rayquaza and Night March into uncomfortable situations (Delinquent is huge against Pumpkaboo when your opponent has four hand cards for example, because they need to get a new Stadium and you have a good chance to discard a Puzzle of Time) and Delinquent + Jirachi against Mega Rayquaza can be very devastating. Dedenne is a decent out against both decks. It can OHKO Joltik and Pumpkaboo when they don’t have a Fury Belt (which can be countered by Greninja’s Abilities) and deals up to 160 against Mega Rayquaza, which doesn’t put your Greninja on the line.

Here is the Dortmund winner's list:

 

Analyzing

The most popular decks turned out to be Greninja, Night March, Yveltal and Rayquaza, let’s take a look at the development:

 

Rayquaza saw a big rise in popularity after the first two weeks, just as Greninja and Yveltal. The rise of Greninja and Yveltal made Night March way less successful than before, but after that, the Night March lists just started to adjust and managed to make the top cut again. For the future development I expect Night March and Greninja still being the strongest decks and I guess Mega Rayquaza and Yveltal will drop a bit lower again. Playing counter decks like Sceptile or Vespiquen/Vileplume are very good choices to get a spot in the Top 8. However at every Regional those decks lost to a bad matchup in either Top 8 or Top 4, so if you are aiming for a 1st place I’d not recommend them.

I think to win the mirror match, you have to be one step ahead again. I am currently thinking about playing 4 Rough Seas and Durant, so you have 4 Seas which will be almost impossible for Delinquent to discard and Durant to deck your opponent out. Or just run 2 Seas, 1 Delinquent, and either Max Potion or AZ, so you can heal a Greninja after it took some damage. If you think there will be more Night March, consider playing cards like Rare Candy (can set up a Greninja if a Frogadier got Knocked Out) or a 1-1 Octillery line, to enhance your drawing to dig for cards like Delinquent (try to discard Puzzle of Time or all cards) or just Pokémon to evolve faster. The Night March player should also make sure to have a decent out against Greninja. I like Parallel City and Pokémon Catcher both a lot, because they can help in every matchup. However the Parallel City might backfire against Delinquent and Stadium-heavy Greninja decks.

Another interesting thing to mention is that Trevenant seems to be very popular in the USA, but no one really plays it here. It struggles against the 4 Rough Seas Greninja lists and against NM it’s still very close, however I think at the moment you can catch people off guard with Trevenant so take it into consideration.

Thanks for reading, let me know what you think, and until next time ;3

60cards Team

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